If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

White letter R on blue background
July 29, 2016

Philadelphia Vs. Cleveland: Divided We Stand By Patrick J. Buchanan

Wednesday was the best night of Hillary Clinton's campaign.    

White letter R on blue background
July 28, 2016

Clinton Cash By John Stossel

This week, as Democrats fawn over Hillary Clinton, I'm struck by how both Clintons continue to thrive despite their remarkable record of sleazy dealings.    

White letter R on blue background
July 27, 2016

#BlueLightFriday: From the White House to Your House By Michelle Malkin

When you need something done, call a retired cop. 

White letter R on blue background
July 27, 2016

Clinton Over the Hump, and Trump Gets a Bump by Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley

After Donald Trump picked Mike Pence to be his running mate two weeks ago -- that feels like two months ago, right? -- we suggested that Trump could end up taking at least a temporary lead because of the convention bounce that presidential candidates typically get after their conventions.

White letter R on blue background
July 26, 2016

Clinton carnival hits Philly; blame the Russians by Charles Hurt

Turns out Donald J. Trump is right. The system really is rigged! At least the Democratic Party’s system is.

White letter R on blue background
July 26, 2016

Black Votes Matter By Thomas Sowell

Black votes matter. If Republicans could get 20 percent of black votes, the Democrats would be ruined. This is highly unlikely, given the approach used by Republicans. However, the point is that Democrats must not only continue to get nine-tenths of black votes, they also need to get a high turnout of black voters on election day.   

White letter R on blue background
July 26, 2016

What's 'Making America One Again' About? By Michael Barone

"Make America One Again." That was the stated theme of the last night of the Republican National Convention. In the welter of analysis of Donald Trump's acceptance speech, few have commented on it, but it's worth taking it seriously.

White letter R on blue background
July 25, 2016

Clinton-Kaine: A Not-So Surprising Ticket by Kyle Kondik, Geoffrey Skelley, and Larry J. Sabato

If someone had told us at the start of this election cycle that the Democratic presidential nominee would be Hillary Clinton, and that she would choose Sen. Tim Kaine of Virginia as her running mate, we would have said that would be… very, very plausible.

White letter R on blue background
July 22, 2016

Cops Shouldn't Write Tickets By Ted Rall

After years of no one -- at least not the white people who control the media -- giving a damn about what happens to black people at the hands of white cops, suddenly the terrible relationship between people and the police is a huge problem.

White letter R on blue background
July 22, 2016

Is America Ready for a Disruptive President? by Michael Barone

Disruptive. That's a good word to describe Donald Trump's presidential candidacy, and to describe the sometimes-ramshackle Republican National Convention his campaign more or less superintended in Cleveland this past week.

White letter R on blue background
July 22, 2016

Ted Cruz and the Trump Takeover By Patrick J. Buchanan

The self-righteousness and smugness of Ted Cruz in refusing to endorse Donald Trump, then walking off stage in Cleveland, smirking amidst the boos, takes the mind back in time. 

White letter R on blue background
July 22, 2016

Donald Trump: #LoveWins By Charles Hurt

CLEVELAND — Say whatever you want about real estate developer Donald J. Trump, he is the candidate of “love.”

White letter R on blue background
July 21, 2016

What to Expect When You’re Expecting a Bounce by Geoffrey Skelley

The convention bounce is a long-established pattern in presidential election cycles. Much has been written about it, so we won’t rehash it too much. The main point is that conventions almost always generate an increase in a nominee’s polling numbers during and after his or her convention, but often times the bounce is short-lived. Still, some of that jump in the polls can be maintained; in this environment, a poll bounce will probably signal increased party unity. This is what is important for Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton: The former needs to get his support among Republicans up to and beyond 90% in the polls (he’s currently in the 80%-85% range) and the latter needs Sanders supporters, many of whom self-identify as independents, to more firmly back her (most surveys have shown a sizable chunk of Sanders voters still outside Clinton’s camp).

White letter R on blue background
July 20, 2016

Ignoring Politicians by John Stossel

My Fox colleagues are in Cleveland, diligently interviewing Republicans. Next week, they'll interview Democrats. I'm glad they do it -- because I despise most politicians.

White letter R on blue background
July 20, 2016

Not So Hot in Cleveland By Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley

With two nights down at the Republican National Convention and two nights to go, here are five quick observations on Trump TV:

White letter R on blue background
July 20, 2016

Who Gets Absolute Moral Authority? By Michelle Malkin

My 12-year-old son couldn't remember the phrase "take a walk down memory lane" last week, instead describing a stroll through "nostalgia road." I knew it would come in handy.   

White letter R on blue background
July 20, 2016

A New Camelot Is Born By Charles Hurt

Behold! A new American political dynasty is born!

Goodnight, Camelot. Move over Bushes and Clintons.

Meet the entire Trump clan.

White letter R on blue background
July 19, 2016

Is the Party Over for Bushism? By Patrick J. Buchanan

Neither George W. Bush, the Republican Party nominee in 2000 and 2004, nor Jeb, the dethroned Prince of Wales, will be in Cleveland. Nor will John McCain or Mitt Romney, the last two nominees.   

White letter R on blue background
July 19, 2016

Will Trump's 'Other People's Money' Campaign Prevail Over Clinton's Standard Tactics? By Michael Barone

Donald Trump postponed the announcement of his vice presidential candidate, Mike Pence, because of the terrorist attack in Nice, which was in line with the modus operandi of his campaign. He didn't want to preempt news media coverage of another radical Islamist terrorist attack.

White letter R on blue background
July 19, 2016

The Dumbest Idea by Thomas Sowell

If there were a contest for the most stupid idea in politics, my choice would be the assumption that people would be evenly or randomly distributed in incomes, institutions, occupations or awards, in the absence of somebody doing somebody wrong.