If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

White letter R on blue background
February 16, 2016

Leave the Scalia Chair Vacant by Pat Buchanan

It is a measure of the stature and the significance of Justice Antonin Scalia that, upon the news of his death at a hunting lodge in Texas, Washington was instantly caught up in an unseemly quarrel over who would succeed him.

White letter R on blue background
February 13, 2016

How Can Bernie Pay for his Ambitious Agenda? Slash the Military By Ted Rall

Late last year, I interviewed Bernie Sanders while working on my biography, "Bernie." I asked him if he planned to reduce the defense budget if elected president. "We will take a hard look at that," he told me, agreeing that there's an awful lot of bloat in America's military spending that ought to be cut.  

White letter R on blue background
February 12, 2016

New Hampshire's Rebuke By Michael Barone

New Hampshire voters issued a rebuke to conventional party leaders when they voted by large margins for Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders in Tuesday's primaries. But Sanders is not going to win the Democratic nomination, and it's by no means certain Trump will be the Republican nominee. 

White letter R on blue background
February 12, 2016

How Republics Perish by Pat Buchanan

If you believed America's longest war, in Afghanistan, was coming to an end, be advised: It is not.

White letter R on blue background
February 11, 2016

The Democrats: Bernie’s Blowout By Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley

That Bernie Sanders won New Hampshire was not a surprise. That he won by so much is. It’s a tremendous shot in the arm for his campaign and a jarring setback for Hillary Clinton.

White letter R on blue background
February 10, 2016

TSA: Total Security Abyss By Michelle Malkin

While a TSA agent pawed my hair bun this weekend, presumably on high alert for improvised explosive bobby pins, I pondered the latest news on the Somalia airplane terror attack.  

White letter R on blue background
February 10, 2016

High-Tech Ted by John Stossel

Politicians tailor their messages to different audiences. Facing New Hampshire's primary, Ted Cruz talked more about "free-market principles" and a "commitment to the Constitution" and said "no one personality can right the wrongs done by Washington." Politico ran the headline "Ted Cruz, born-again libertarian."

White letter R on blue background
February 10, 2016

Donald Trump Built a Juggernaut and Had the Media Pay for It By Charles Hurt

Why does the mainstream media heap such scorn and disbelief on Donald Trump over his promise to build a great wall along the border with Mexico — and make Mexico pay for it? After all, Donald Trump has built a winning presidential campaign — and made the media pay for it.

White letter R on blue background
February 10, 2016

Bloomberg vs. Trump? By Patrick J. Buchanan

The morning of the New Hampshire primary, Donald Trump, being interviewed on "Morning Joe," said that he would welcome his "friend" Michael Bloomberg into the presidential race.

Which is probably the understatement of 2016.

White letter R on blue background
February 9, 2016

How History Shapes the New Hampshire Primary By Michael Barone

Benning Wentworth is not a name you'll run across in New Hampshire primary coverage. But he arguably did as much as anyone else to establish the political culture -- or cultures -- of America's first-in-the-nation primary state.  

White letter R on blue background
February 8, 2016

What Would – and Would Not – Be Surprising in New Hampshire By Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley

Last week, we wrote that Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump are the favorites to win New Hampshire, and while there have been plenty of fireworks between then and now (Monday afternoon), our overall assessment hasn’t changed. Polling in the New Hampshire primary is often far off the mark — the electorate has a remarkably high number of late-deciders and switchers — but keep this in mind: Trump has appeared strong in New Hampshire for more than half a year. Since mid-July, he has led 72 straight polls, almost all of them showing a double-digit lead. And since early January, Sanders has led 38 straight polls, with most also showing a double-digit lead.

White letter R on blue background
February 8, 2016

Toxic Words By Thomas Sowell

During this election year, we are destined to hear many words that are toxic in the way they misrepresent reality and substitute fantasies that can win votes.

White letter R on blue background
February 5, 2016

My Critique of Hillary Clinton's Campaign By Ted Rall

Last week, I handicapped the Bernie Sanders campaign. He since pulled off an upset in the Iowa Caucus, where he overcame a 40-point lead by Hillary Clinton to a virtual tie so even that coin tosses and bureaucratic incompetence may have made a difference.

White letter R on blue background
February 5, 2016

Probing for Clues in the Iowa Caucus Numbers By Michael Barone

Now that the results of last Monday's Iowa caucuses are in, speculation naturally turns to next Tuesday's New Hampshire primary.

Will Donald Trump fail once again to receive the percentage he's getting in polls? Will Marco Rubio build on his close third-place Iowa finish to overshadow rivals Jeb Bush, John Kasich and Chris Christie, who have been rivaling him in New Hampshire polls?

White letter R on blue background
February 5, 2016

The Remainderman by Pat Buchanan

Donald Trump won more votes in the Iowa caucuses than any Republican candidate in history.

White letter R on blue background
February 4, 2016

Sanders, Trump Still Favored in New Hampshire By Larry J. Sabato and Kyle Kondik

New Hampshire, as usual, will not be inclined to ratify the result of its early-state rival, Iowa. In open seat races, it’s natural for New Hampshire to zag after Iowa zigs: In the modern era of presidential nominations starting in 1972, there have been 16 contested presidential primaries (seven for the Republicans, nine for the Democrats). In only four of those races did the same candidate win both Iowa and New Hampshire: Presidents Gerald Ford (R) and Jimmy Carter (D) won the first two contests against, respectively, Ronald Reagan in 1976 and Ted Kennedy in 1980, and Al Gore and John Kerry won both while cruising to the Democratic nomination in 2000 and 2004.*

White letter R on blue background
February 3, 2016

Political Arrogance by John Stossel

After the Iowa caucus results, it looks like Hillary Clinton vs. Marco Rubio in November!

White letter R on blue background
February 3, 2016

Chicken Little Chuckie Schumer: America's Disease-Fighting Phony By Michelle Malkin

Latin America's Zika virus is the latest undocumented immigrant to hit our shores, but have no fear. Self-appointed Zika Warrior Prince Charles Schumer has declared that he is here to stop it.  

White letter R on blue background
February 2, 2016

Ted Cruz Wins Iowa, But He Won’t Be the GOP Nominee for President By Charles Hurt

DES MOINES — Well, that’s settled. Texas Sen. Ted Cruz will not be the 2016 Republican nominee for president.

At least not if recent history is any guide. It has been 16 years since Republican caucus-goers here have accurately picked the eventual GOP nominee for president. In other words, not once in this entire century has Iowa picked the winner for Republicans.

White letter R on blue background
February 2, 2016

Is a New Era Upon Us? by Pat Buchanan

Whoever wins the nominations, the most successful campaigns of 2016 provide us with a clear picture of where the center of gravity is today in both parties and, hence, where America is going.