Political Commentary

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July 16, 2020The Future Shape of the Senate By Louis Jacobson
How 2020 sets up 2022 and 2024.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE
— The Constitution divides the Senate into three “classes” that face the voters on six-year cycles. Under today’s political dynamics, the class that faced the voters in 2018 was favorable to the Republicans, while the class that faces the voters in 2020 is favorable to the Democrats.
— What about the class that faces the voters in 2022? Our analysis shows that this class is also favorable to the Democrats.
— If the Democrats manage to seize the Senate majority in 2020, the relatively pro-Democratic map in 2022 could insulate the party somewhat if Joe Biden is elected president and a midterm backlash benefiting the GOP emerges.
— The Democrats will need to run up the score in the Senate in both 2020 and 2022 if they are going to keep the majority past the 2024 elections, when the Republicans benefit from an extremely favorable map for their party.
July 15, 2020Mask Mandates Are a Public Health Menace By Michelle Malkin
Jared Polis, the Democratic governor of Colorado, thinks those of us who oppose scientifically dubious, constitutionally suspect and dangerously overbroad face mask mandates are "selfish bastards."
July 15, 2020Too Much Faith in Models By John Stossel
Between 2 million and 3 million Americans will die!
That was the prediction from "experts" at London's Imperial College when COVID-19 began. They did also say if there was "social distancing of the whole population," the death toll could be cut in half, but 1.1 million to 1.46 million Americans would still die by this summer.
July 14, 2020The Electoral College: The Fringe of the Map Expands By Kyle Kondik
If Trump’s numbers don’t improve, some surprising states could come into play.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— President Trump’s position has been perilously weak for a month and a half.
— With Joe Biden’s national lead around eight to 10 points, there is a possibility that he could compete for some usually Republican states.
— We are moving seven states from Safe Republican to Likely Republican.
— Our current ratings represent something of a hedge between a Trump comeback and Biden maintaining or expanding his large national lead.
— We also are moving the Missouri gubernatorial race from Likely Republican to Leans Republican.
July 14, 2020Will the Left Kill America's Energy Dominance? By Stephen Moore
If the "liberal" green movement had the political power during earlier periods of our nation's history that it has now, we would not have built the railroads. Also, there would be no interstate highway system, and the electric grid system that powers our country would be disconnected and shattered.
July 14, 2020Can Trump Pull a Truman? By Patrick J. Buchanan
On July 22, 1988, after the Democratic National Convention in Atlanta, the party nominee, Gov. Michael Dukakis, enjoyed a 17-point lead over Vice President George W. Bush.
July 11, 2020On Foreign Policy, Biden Is Worse Than Trump By Ted Rall
President Donald Trump is terrible. Joe Biden is just as bad. In some ways, the Democrat is worse.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
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                            July 10, 2020NeverTrumpers Turn Their Backs On A Lifetime of Conservatism By Brian C. Joondeph
The so-called NeverTrumpers opposed Donald Trump’s Republican Party nomination in 2016 because they believed he was unfit for the presidency. He had not paid his dues as a senator or governor. He wasn’t part of the Republican in-crowd. He was Caddyshack character Al Czervik, played by Rodney Dangerfield, a skunk at the GOP’s country club garden party.
July 10, 2020Behind the Media's Breathtakingly Dishonest Coverage By Michael Barone
"I don't think I've ever seen such dishonest and biased coverage of any event." That was Brit Hume, who has been covering events for more than 50 years for Fox News, ABC News and investigative reporter Jack Anderson.
July 10, 2020The New 'Systemic Racism' That Is Coming By Patrick J. Buchanan
Before our Black Lives Matter moment, one had not thought of the NBC networks as shot through with "systemic racism."
July 9, 2020States of Play: Georgia By J. Miles Coleman and Niles Francis
Once-dominant Democrats need formerly Republican suburbs to come through for them in 2020.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— Over the last few decades, Georgia has gone from a swing state to reliably GOP. But it’s now looking like a genuinely competitive state again.
— Democrats have made major inroads in both urban Atlanta and its suburbs, but their gains have been somewhat blunted by the sharp Republican trend in other parts of the state.
— In the state’s regular Senate election this year, we’re downgrading Sen. David Perdue’s chances. We now have both Georgia’s seats rated as Leans Republican.
July 8, 2020Stand with Steven Baca By Michelle Malkin
If you support the Second Amendment, oppose mob anarchy and reject the monumental madness gripping America, then you stand with Steven Baca.
July 8, 2020Fired for Speaking Truth By John Stossel
The online mob came for Harald Uhlig.
July 7, 2020This Is a Good Time to Be a Government Worker By Stephen Moore
The June blockbuster jobs report is more evidence that the economy is healing, but this remains a brutal period for the some 30 million still unemployed Americans.
July 7, 2020A Culture War Battle Trump Can Win By Patrick J. Buchanan
Speaking at Mount Rushmore on Friday, and from the White House lawn on Saturday, July 4, Donald Trump recast the presidential race.
He seized upon an issue that can turn his fortunes around, and the wounded howls of the media testify to the power of his message.
July 4, 2020The Data Is Clear: Progressives Should Boycott Biden By Ted Rall
Once again, the Democratic Party is asking progressives to vote for a presidential nominee who says he disagrees with it about every major issue. This is presented as an offer it cannot refuse. If it casts a protest vote for a third-party candidate like the unionist and environmentalist Howie Hawkins of the Green Party or stays home on that key Tuesday in November, Donald Trump will win a second term -- which would be worse than Biden's first.
July 3, 2020Generations Defining -- and Redefining -- American History By Michael Barone
Americans naturally tend to think of their presidents in terms of generations, like they do with their families. This may have started with the news that former Presidents John Adams and Thomas Jefferson both died on July 4, 1826, half a century to the day the Continental Congress adopted the Declaration of Independence they jointly drafted.
July 3, 2020Are Uncivil Protests and Mob Violence Winning? By Patrick J. Buchanan
The Seattle Commune is no more.
Declared three weeks ago by radical leftists as CHAZ, the Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone, rechristened CHOP, the Capitol Hill Occupation Protest, the six-block enclave inside Seattle ceased to exist July 1. The cops shut it down.
July 2, 2020The House: Democratic Murmurings in the Texas Suburbs – and Elsewhere By Kyle Kondik
11 rating changes, most in favor of Democrats.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— Joe Biden’s currently strong lead in the presidential race is being felt in the suburbs, which if it lasts could imperil Republicans in some of their formerly dark red turf.
— Texas merits special attention, where as many as 10 Republican-held House seats could become vulnerable if Trump were to lose the state.
— We have 11 House rating changes, 10 of which benefit Democrats.
— Democrats remain favored to retain their House majority.
July 1, 2020What's the Matter with Kansas State University? By Michelle Malkin
Kansas hasn't voted for a Democrat in presidential elections since 1964. From 1995 to 2002 and from 2011 to 2017, Republicans in Topeka held the iron trifecta of the governor's mansion, the state House and the state Senate. In 2016, Donald Trump walloped Hillary Clinton in this quintessential red state by a 57-36 margin.

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If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

The Future Shape of the Senate By Louis Jacobson

Mask Mandates Are a Public Health Menace By Michelle Malkin

Too Much Faith in Models By John Stossel

The Electoral College: The Fringe of the Map Expands By Kyle Kondik

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

Will the Left Kill America's Energy Dominance? By Stephen Moore

Can Trump Pull a Truman? By Patrick J. Buchanan

On Foreign Policy, Biden Is Worse Than Trump By Ted Rall

NeverTrumpers Turn Their Backs On A Lifetime of Conservatism By Brian C. Joondeph

Behind the Media's Breathtakingly Dishonest Coverage By Michael Barone

The New 'Systemic Racism' That Is Coming By Patrick J. Buchanan

States of Play: Georgia By J. Miles Coleman and Niles Francis

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

Stand with Steven Baca By Michelle Malkin

Fired for Speaking Truth By John Stossel

This Is a Good Time to Be a Government Worker By Stephen Moore

A Culture War Battle Trump Can Win By Patrick J. Buchanan

The Data Is Clear: Progressives Should Boycott Biden By Ted Rall

Generations Defining -- and Redefining -- American History By Michael Barone

Are Uncivil Protests and Mob Violence Winning? By Patrick J. Buchanan

The House: Democratic Murmurings in the Texas Suburbs – and Elsewhere By Kyle Kondik

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

What's the Matter with Kansas State University? By Michelle Malkin

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