Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

August 8, 2019Did Russian Interference Affect the 2016 Election Results? By Alan I. Abramowitz
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s recent testimony was a reminder that Russia attempted to influence the outcome of the 2016 election and very well may try to do so again in 2020.
— This begs the question: Is there any evidence that Russian interference may have impacted the results, particularly in key states?
— The following analysis suggests that the 2016 results can be explained almost entirely based on the political and demographic characteristics of those states. So from that standpoint, the answer seems to be no.
August 7, 2019Warning: How the VA 'Red-Flags' Patriots By Michelle Malkin
Gun-grabbing crisis vultures just can't let the latest mass shootings go to waste. "Red flag" laws are now all the rage in the Beltway as the magic pill to prevent homicidal maniacs from wreaking havoc on the nation. Even President Donald Trump has endorsed the idea of preemptively confiscating people's firearms if they are deemed a "threat."
August 7, 2019Stupid News By John Stossel
"Fake news!" shouts the president. His supporters cheer.
August 6, 2019Why the Fed Shouldn't Compete With Private Banks By Stephen Moore
Do we want the U.S. Federal Reserve Board to operate as a commercial bank -- and compete with our private banking system? The Fed apparently wants to, and it's a policy shift that could greatly expand the mission of the Fed.
August 6, 2019Exploiting Massacres to Raise Poll Ratings By Patrick J. Buchanan
It was two days of contrast that tell us about America 2019.
In El Paso, Texas, and Dayton, Ohio, following the mass murders of Saturday and Sunday morning, the local folks on camera -- police, prosecutors, mayors, FBI and city officials -- were nonpartisan, patient, polite and dignified in the unity and solemnity of their grief for their dead and wounded.
August 3, 2019Bernie's Plan to Address the Retirement Crisis: Good It Exists, But Not Nearly Enough to Solve the Problem By Ted Rall
Two weeks ago, Bernie Sanders announced his "right to a secure retirement" plan. The media didn't notice, the voters didn't care, and no one's talking about it. But the problem is huge and about to get huger. And the government isn't doing jack.
August 2, 2019A Multicultural Mugging of Uncle Joe By Patrick J. Buchanan
In his opening statement at Wednesday's Democratic debate in Detroit, Joe Biden addressed Donald Trump while pointing proudly to the racial and ethnic diversity of the nine Democrats standing beside him.
August 2, 2019Nationalism, Rightly Understood, Is a Necessary Ingredient of Political Success By Michael Barone
Nationalism has a bad name. For many Americans, mention of the word summons up visions of Hitler and Nazism. Some condemn nationalism as thoughtless bragging that your nation is better than others, which should be discouraged just as second graders are told not to brag, lest they hurt classmates' feelings.
August 1, 2019Notes on the State of Politics By Kyle Kondik
Debate effects can fade; Trump may be running behind his approval; the NC-9 special; a Magnolia runoff?
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— The polling effects from the first debate largely wore off by the time the second round started.
— In 2016, President Trump won some voters who otherwise did not like him, but there are some signs he isn’t benefiting from such a dynamic at the moment.
— The NC-9 special House election moves from Toss-up to Leans Republican.
— Mississippi’s GOP gubernatorial primary may be headed to a runoff.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
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                            July 31, 2019Dems Rely on Phony Impeachment Polling By Brian C. Joondeph
Despite the embarrassing spectacle of Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s congressional testimony where he finally learned about the report he supposedly created and wrote, Democrats are doubling down on stupid.
July 31, 2019Freedom of Assembly Under Fire By Michelle Malkin
Do law-abiding American citizens still have the right to gather peacefully to discuss their ideas without fear of government censorship and retribution?
July 31, 2019Free Stuff! By John Stossel
Never before have presidential candidates offered voters so much "free" stuff.
July 30, 2019Why the Fed Is Right to Inject the Economy With More Dollars By Stephen Moore
Suddenly, nearly everyone wants the Federal Reserve Board to cut interest rates. I've been arguing for this for nine months, so it's nice to see the economic intelligentsia is finally persuaded. The Fed has become a restraint on growth since last August thanks to ill-advised interest rate increases (and promises to raise rates more in 2019), which slowly squeezed out of the economy dollar liquidity and tanked the stock market.
July 30, 2019Is Trump Capturing the 'Law and Order' Issue? Patrick J. Buchanan
Did President Donald Trump launch his Twitter barrage at Elijah Cummings simply because the Baltimore congressman was black?

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
                    <img src="https://818646.hqzbsc.asia/var/plain/storage/images/_aliases/wide_266/public_content/political_commentary/commentary_by_doug_johnson_hatlem/are_democrats_on_track_for_a_brokered_convention/1396858-1-eng-US/are_democrats_on_track_for_a_brokered_convention.png" />
                
            
                            July 30, 2019Are Democrats On Track for a Brokered Convention? By Doug Johnson Hatlem
My #10at10 2020 Democratic Primary Model is now live. It includes delegate projections down to the state and congressional district level (State Senate district in Texas) for every state voting from the Iowa Caucus on February 3 through Super Tuesday when 13 states vote a month later.
July 27, 2019Progressives to Democrats: We're Watching the Way You Mistreat 'the Squad' By Ted Rall
Strictly speaking, Nancy Pelosi is right. Led by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York, the four Congressional freshmen known as the Squad are, by Beltway standards, relatively powerless -- just four votes, as the speaker said. They chair no committees and head no broad coalitions that can be counted upon to cast yeas and nays at their command.
July 26, 2019After Mueller Debacle, Where Do Democrats Go? By Patrick J. Buchanan
The Democrats who were looking to cast Robert Mueller as the star in a TV special, "The Impeachment of Donald Trump," can probably tear up the script. They're gonna be needing a new one.
July 26, 2019A Big Wednesday for 'Populists' on Both Sides of the Atlantic By Michael Barone
Power shifted Wednesday, on both sides of the Atlantic.
In Washington, the dim performance of Robert Mueller, in the hearings House Democrats insisted on, took the last air out of the Collusiongate balloon. The notion that Donald Trump would be hounded out of office has been revealed as the fantasy it always was.
July 25, 2019The 2020 Congressional Elections: A Very Early Forecast By Alan I. Abramowitz
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— A forecasting model based on postwar electoral history along with the president’s approval rating and the House generic ballot points to Democratic gains next fall.
— The model’s projection won’t be finalized until late next summer and will be based on whatever the president’s approval and the House generic ballot polling is at that time.
— The Republicans enjoy some advantages on both the House and Senate map that might allow them to overperform whatever the model’s final projection is.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
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                            July 25, 2019For Being Such An Idiot, Trump Is Pretty Smart By Brian Joondeph
We have been hearing now for four years, ever since that escalator ride at Trump Tower, how then-candidate, now President Trump is such an idiot. The media, Democrats and NeverTrumpers virtually in lockstep assured us that Trump would never be the Republican nominee. When he was, they doubled down promising that he would never be president. Nearly every so-called opinion poll confirmed their predictions.

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If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

Did Russian Interference Affect the 2016 Election Results? By Alan I. Abramowitz

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

Warning: How the VA 'Red-Flags' Patriots By Michelle Malkin

Stupid News By John Stossel

Why the Fed Shouldn't Compete With Private Banks By Stephen Moore

Exploiting Massacres to Raise Poll Ratings By Patrick J. Buchanan

Bernie's Plan to Address the Retirement Crisis: Good It Exists, But Not Nearly Enough to Solve the Problem By Ted Rall

A Multicultural Mugging of Uncle Joe By Patrick J. Buchanan

Nationalism, Rightly Understood, Is a Necessary Ingredient of Political Success By Michael Barone

Notes on the State of Politics By Kyle Kondik

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

Dems Rely on Phony Impeachment Polling By Brian C. Joondeph

Freedom of Assembly Under Fire By Michelle Malkin

Free Stuff! By John Stossel

Why the Fed Is Right to Inject the Economy With More Dollars By Stephen Moore

Is Trump Capturing the 'Law and Order' Issue? Patrick J. Buchanan

Are Democrats On Track for a Brokered Convention? By Doug Johnson Hatlem

Progressives to Democrats: We're Watching the Way You Mistreat 'the Squad' By Ted Rall

After Mueller Debacle, Where Do Democrats Go? By Patrick J. Buchanan

A Big Wednesday for 'Populists' on Both Sides of the Atlantic By Michael Barone

The 2020 Congressional Elections: A Very Early Forecast By Alan I. Abramowitz

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

For Being Such An Idiot, Trump Is Pretty Smart By Brian Joondeph

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