Three days to go and the latest Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projection shows George W. Bush with 222 Electoral Votes and John Kerry with 186. There are now eleven states with 130 Electoral Votes in the Toss-Up category.
In Michigan, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 50% of the vote and President Bush with 47%. Four years ago, Al Gore won the state with a solid 51% to 46% margin of victory.
Kerry has been consistently ahead in our daily Michigan Tracking Poll provided to Premium Members. However, his lead has declined recently and been smaller than five percentage points for three consecutive days. As a result, Michigan moves back to "Toss-Up" status for our Electoral College projections.
The War on Terror and the economy have been and remain the fundamental issues of Election 2004. We have tracked voter preference on these issues every week since January.
In Florida, the most infamous Toss-Up State of Election 2000, President George Bush has the lead heading into the final weekend of Election 2004.
In the sixteen-Battleground States that are likely to determine the winner of Election 2004, it's as close as it can be--President Bush has 48.0% of the vote and Senator Kerry has 47.5%.
In the South Dakota Senate race, former Congressman John Thune attracts 49% of the vote while Senate Minority Leader Tom Daschle earns 46%.
In Arizona, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds President George W. Bush with 50% of the vote and Senator John Kerry with 45%. Libertarian Michael Badnarik attracts 3% of the state's vote.
Since July, 40-49 yr. old (Generation Jones) women have vacillated more than other generations of women between John Kerry and George W. Bush.
In New Mexico, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds President George W. Bush with 48% of the vote and Senator John Kerry with 44%. Ralph Nader has 2% of the vote and Libertarian Michael Badnarik has 1%.
President Bush is viewed favorably by 52% of American voters. Forty-seven percent (47%) have an unfavorable opinion of the President.
The latest Kerry numbers are 51% favorable and 48% unfavorable. Last week, they were 50% and 49% respectively.
Seventy-one percent (71%) of voters made their final decision on their Presidential vote before the fall campaign season began. A Rasmussen Reports survey found that 12% decided about a month ago, 9% a week ago, and 5% in the past few days.
Despite the close race and memories from four years ago, 76% of voters expect we'll know who won sometime on election night.
One week to go and President George W. Bush has pulled ahead in the critical battleground state of Ohio. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows the President with 50% of the vote and Senator John Kerry with 46%.
Forty-nine percent (49%) of American voters believe George W. Bush is a better leader than John Kerry.
The latest Rasmussen Reports polling data shows President George W. Bush leading Senator John Kerry in Iowa 48% to 46%. That's well within the survey's margin of sampling error.
The race for Pennsylvania's 21 Electoral Votes is too close to call. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey of the Keystone state finds Senator John Kerry with 49% of the vote and President George W. Bush with 46%.
In the latest Rasmussen Reports full week's polling sample, President George W. Bush holds a two percentage point lead over Senator Kerry.
Just 13% of American voters favor re-instatement of a military draft for the United States. A Rasmussen Reports survey found that 72% are opposed to such a step.
Perhaps because the sentiment is so overwhelming, few expect a draft anytime soon--regardless of who wins the Presidential election.
If President Bush wins, 23% of American voters believe we will have a military draft. If Senator Kerry wins, 22% believe there will be a draft. In both cases, 53% say they do not expect a draft.
Republican prospects for retaining control of the United States Senate improved a bit over the past couple of weeks.
In Missouri, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 50% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 45%. Two weeks earlier, the President was ahead by a similar margin, 51% to 45%. A month before that, he was ahead 48% to 42%.
Fifty-three percent (53%) of the state's voters have a favorable opinion of the President. That's down from 58% in our previous survey.
